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During the MHSAA Football Finals at Ford Field last November, I was approached by representatives of the Michigan High School Football Coaches Association with a request to have the MHSAA’s computing capabilities crunch the numbers for a concept that a couple of the coaches association’s members had for revising the MHSAA Football Playoff point system.

Within a few weeks the MHSAA hosted a meeting that brought together the coaches who introduced the concept with our numbers crunchers; and within a few days our staff had outlined the principles, revised the point system and retrofitted it to show how the system would have affected the 2012 playoffs.

There was initial excitement that we might be onto something, but that brief infatuation began to wane as we dug deeper and discussed the plan more widely.

The key ingredients of the proposal are (1) that a school would gain playoff points for every game its opponent wins, whether or not that school defeated that opponent, and (2) that the number of automatic qualifiers would be reduced in favor of a larger group of additional qualifiers based on a revised playoff points system that would favor schools which schedule larger and more successful opponents.

In spite of our staff’s helpfulness in bringing this proposal forward, we’ve lost optimism that it will accomplish what is hoped.  Rather than making regular-season scheduling easier, it could make it harder as the “six-wins-and-in” mindset is replaced by the even worse “seven-wins-and-in” mindset.  And any system that ignores a minimum number of wins and relies entirely on playoff points is even less fair than the current system to schools in the less densely populated areas of Michigan.

From our retrofitting of the proposed concept to the 2012 season, we know that teams with 6-3 records would be displaced in the playoffs by teams with 4-5 records, which is certain to go down badly and be difficult to explain to those communities.  The revised point system would make it even more difficult than the current system for schools in less populated areas to find opponents of the size and strength to generate high playoff point averages without these schools driving 100, 200, 300 or more miles, one way, several times each season.  For individual schools and some entire leagues, this will make football scheduling tougher, not easier.  It is likely to add stress to those league affiliations, and to football scheduling generally.

In any event, there is no need to rush to 2013 or 2014 a proposal that’s called “Enhanced Strength of Schedule System” because schedules are 99 percent set for 2013 and nearly so for 2014.  Even if adopted today, few schedules would be impacted before 2015.  If a change like this one is to be implemented, schools must have ample notice, and our technology department must have enough time to program the new point system and then test it through an entire season.

The Representative Council acted wisely on May 6 when it paused the progress of this proposal.  Some elements of it may be discussed at the MHSAA’s scheduled meetings this summer and fall. 

Posted in: Football

Comments

Don Horkey
# Don Horkey
Monday, May 13, 2013 3:14 PM
What is wrong with lowering the "must win 6" to 4, and get rid of the complicated, hard-to-understand point system?
Nicole
Saturday, June 8, 2013 12:40 AM
To off-set the costs of these incredible trips for Upper Peninsula teams, each scoohl should have to pay into a fund at the beginning of the season ($150-$200 per scoohl) to participate. That fund would be used for every team that has to go on the road during the post-season to cover bus and gas spending.What's eventually going to happen with these smaller scoohls, especially dipping down into class D, is that the U.P. isn't going to be able to afford to have teams come down. That would just be a shame. A simple fund like this one would ease the burden for every scoohl and those with plenty of funds for their athletics or with massive booster programs could voluntarily turn down the funding.You note that Lower Michigan teams have been penalized a home game for something they can't control. These U.P. teams don't have the same quality opponents as many LP teams do. So, they can't control what their schedule looks like in order to get these big playoff points. Class B and C scoohls end up playing Class D scoohls just to fill their schedule. They shouldn't be penalized, either.To make it fair, after the district bracket is done, every game should be played on neutral fields.

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